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It's thundering out there, so I assume there's lightening. Rain is falling. Come on, it's almost the end o' November. I want the snow to cover all the rotting things on the ground. Nice, white, and sterile, that's what I want for Xmas.

An Epidemic No One Understands

And for all you pundits of war out there

The Wars of Perception
By DOMINIC JOHNSON and DOMINIC TIERNEY

IN January 1968, Americans turned on their televisions to find scenes of chaos and carnage as Vietnamese communists unleashed their surprise Tet offensive. It would go down in history as the greatest American battlefield defeat of the cold war.

Twenty-five years later, in December 1992, the United States began a humanitarian intervention in Somalia that would be viewed as the most striking failure of the post-cold-war era. Then, in March 2003, American tanks charged across the dunes into Iraq, beginning, in the eyes of many Americans, the worst foreign policy debacle of the post-9/11 world. Tet, Somalia and Iraq: the three great post-World War II American defeats.

Except that, remarkably, Tet and Somalia were not defeats. They were successes perceived as failures. Such stark divergence between perception and reality is common in wartime, when people’s beliefs about which side wins and which loses are often driven by psychological factors that have nothing to do with events on the battlefield. Tet and Somalia may, therefore, hold important lessons for Iraq. More


May you be given a sum of money, then placed on the streets of Baghdad with no papers, and allowed to live the short span of days that should be allotted to false prophets.

Date: 2006-11-28 03:13 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] shelleybear.livejournal.com
So, the question is, what do YOU think it is?
(deleted comment)

Date: 2006-11-29 01:16 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] thirdworld.livejournal.com
Similarly Somalia was a resounding victory going by numbers. They killed a staggering number of Somalis for very few losses. But America at the time did not want to see the bodies of its boys dragged through the streets for a questionable (to Joe Schmo) cause, when clearly many of the locals did not want them there. Plus the invulnerable US air power was suddenly shown to be all too vulnerable.

And the result of that subsequent abrupt withdrawal? Well the same forces that were at work in Afghanistan have continued to work in Somalia, and you now have a country where a force similar to (but not the same) the Taliban is taking over the country, and we all know the danger of that. And what helps give them credibility? Why the warlords before had US support, and they were bastards. And the people just want peace and stability, any way they can get it. Sound familiar?

Sigh.

Yes,

Date: 2006-11-29 04:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lsanderson.livejournal.com
They seem to be in complete ignorance of what victory isn't.

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