Princeton Survey

[lsanderson]

In Minnesota, a Princeton Survey poll puts former comedian Al Franken (D) ahead of Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN), 43% to 34%, with independent Dean Barkley at 18%.

State Minnesota
Democrat Al Franken 43%
Republican Norm Coleman* 34%
Sep 30 Oct 02
Pollster Princeton Survey

Comments

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[dsgood.livejournal.com]

tr><td>State etc.

I never believe anything that's reported.

[mle292.livejournal.com]

The survey was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International.

In a show of Republican chutzpah, Norm Coleman blamed a local newspaper that reported on the poll.

Citing that poll, the Coleman campaign called the Minnesota Poll and its methodology “flawed,” campaign spokesman Luke Friedrich said.

“Minnesotans should take the Star Tribune poll for what it’s worth,” Friedrich said.

Source

Now I'm really wondering

[mle292.livejournal.com]

BUT, here's one conducted on the same days that shows Franken ten points down.

Hmmm... Curious.

There is no overlap between the margin of error on the two surveys.

Re: I never believe anything that's reported.

[shelleybear.livejournal.com]

Star Tribune article here
Typical politician's blater.
If the polls don't work for you, ignore them or fault their methodology.

[lakeboy-55.livejournal.com]

I think one thing to keep in mind about polls in todays environment is that most polling is done over the phone. The pollsters don't (maybe can't) call cellphone holders. If your only phone is your cellphone, as it is for many, many, young people, then those people aren't counted in the polls. I think that most of the polls today are only polling the demographic that requires your pollee's to have a land line. I suspect that Frankin is far more popular among the cell phone only crowd.

[buttonlass.livejournal.com]

This may be mostly true but I've been polled on my cell phone. I don't really answer our house line but I get plenty of calls from Minnesota because I didn't change my number.:)

[433.livejournal.com]

I've also been polled on my cell phone.

[lakeboy-55.livejournal.com]

Here's a link regardng cell phone polling:

http://capitalfax.blogspot.com/2007/07/cell-phones-political-polling.html

It's probably not the only answer to the question of cell phone polling and it's effects, but it does talk about some of the conditions. For one thing, it is forbidden to use automatic diallers on cell number, so pollsters have to dial manually. This would tend to exclude some of the bigger, national polls.

I'm not trying to claim that no one conducts polls on cell phones, just that the more traditional, mainstream polls tend to exclude the cell only voters in demographics. It probably doesn't represent more than a few percentage points of the total, but when discussing something like this election, where so many of the cell only group is likely to be more liberal than the land line community, it could represent a statistical change in the results.